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html>  head>    title>a Eliezer's Posts/title>  /head>  body>    h3>Eliezer's Posts: Index/h3>    ol>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XTXWPQSEgoMkAupKt/an-intuitive-explanation-of-bayes-s-theorem>An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes's Theorem/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/afmj8TKAqH6F2QMfZ/a-technical-explanation-of-technical-explanation>A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7ZqGiPHTpiDMwqMN2/the-twelve-virtues-of-rationality>The Twelve Virtues of Rationality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/teaxCFgtmCQ3E9fy8/the-martial-art-of-rationality>The Martial Art of Rationality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YshRbqZHYFoEMqFAu/why-truth-and>Why truth? And.../a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jnZbHi873v9vcpGpZ/what-s-a-bias-again>...What's a bias, again?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GrDqnMjhqoxiqpQPw/the-proper-use-of-humility>The Proper Use of Humility/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NKECtGX4RZPd7SqYp/the-modesty-argument>The Modesty Argument/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Pm83rA8MTYYeR4Ci4/i-don-t-know>"I don't know."/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6hfGNLf4Hg5DXqJCF/a-fable-of-science-and-politics>A Fable of Science and Politics/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aiQabnugDhcrFtr9n/the-power-of-intelligence>The Power of Intelligence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fXbRhjz3yEF9DLJfE/some-claims-are-just-too-extraordinary>Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/N2pENnTPB75sfc9kb/outside-the-laboratory>Outside the Laboratory/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9weLK2AJ9JEt2Tt8f/politics-is-the-mind-killer>Politics is the Mind-Killer/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/waqC6FihC2ryAZuAq/just-lose-hope-already>Just Lose Hope Already/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HCssSWMp7zoJAPtcR/you-are-not-hiring-the-top-1>You Are Not Hiring the Top 1%/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PeSzc9JTBxhaYRp9b/policy-debates-should-not-appear-one-sided>Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6dSitnwYPg8i8NHn3/burch-s-law>Burch's Law/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XYCEB9roxEBfgjfxs/the-scales-of-justice-the-notebook-of-rationality>The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uaPc4NHi5jGXGQKFS/blue-or-green-on-regulation>Blue or Green on Regulation?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Jq73GozjsuhdwMLEG/superstimuli-and-the-collapse-of-western-civilization>Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CJfSYYdsn9LQdaoPP/useless-medical-disclaimers>Useless Medical Disclaimers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cKrgy7hLdszkse2pq/archimedes-s-chronophone>Archimedes's Chronophone/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7khK4DShZBR8gfyHv/chronophone-motivations>Chronophone Motivations/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JoERzF8ePGr4zP9vv/self-deception-hypocrisy-or-akrasia>Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DoLQN5ryZ9XkZjq5h/tsuyoku-naritai-i-want-to-become-stronger>Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gWGA8Da539EQmAR9F/tsuyoku-vs-the-egalitarian-instinct>Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DbQkkgfq6fHRxmdGP/statistical-bias>"Statistical Bias"/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Wwq6WFpx9HyzwgCKx/useful-statistical-biases>Useful Statistical Biases/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zAvhTnQX6ynJF7pyh/the-error-of-crowds>The Error of Crowds/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yxFkuyPANtL6GSwiC/the-majority-is-always-wrong>The Majority Is Always Wrong/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AdYdLP2sRqPMoe8fb/knowing-about-biases-can-hurt-people>Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XZWMeeqKmfMSPTLha/debiasing-as-non-self-destruction>Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/H59YqogX94z5jb8xx/inductive-bias>"Inductive Bias"/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zGm9JoGZGXtF8zQ9P/suggested-posts>Suggested Posts/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mZJs7FxxmhMvFxuse/futuristic-predictions-as-consumable-goods>Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hcKCrYTW7Zbzmv29g/marginally-zero-sum-efforts>Marginally Zero-Sum Efforts/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jzf4Rcienrm6btRyt/priors-as-mathematical-objects>Priors as Mathematical Objects/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vYsuM8cpuRgZS5rYB/lotteries-a-waste-of-hope>Lotteries: A Waste of Hope/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QawvGzYWhqdyPWgBL/new-improved-lottery>New Improved Lottery/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/anCubLdggTWjnEvBS/your-rationality-is-my-business>Your Rationality is My Business/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rfDS25Pdoij2ZFeJ9/consolidated-nature-of-morality-thread>Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SqF8cHjJv43mvJJzx/feeling-rational>Feeling Rational/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LaM5aTcXvXzwQSC2Q/universal-fire>Universal Fire/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iTwGquBFZKttpEdE/universal-law>Universal Law/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tWLFWAndSZSYN6rPB/think-like-reality>Think Like Reality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jyDBcs3Rx8t5Fhquo/beware-the-unsurprised>Beware the Unsurprised/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/erGipespbbzdG5zYb/the-third-alternative>The Third Alternative/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ujz9PXXz7A4eKjBjp/third-alternatives-for-afterlife-ism>Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2ftJ38y9SRBCBsCzy/scope-insensitivity>Scope Insensitivity/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xiHy3kFni8nsxfdcP/one-life-against-the-world>One Life Against the World/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mgmvs6BT3dSNxmyP2/risk-free-bonds-aren-t>Risk-Free Bonds Aren't/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DB6wbyrMugYMK5o6a/correspondence-bias>Correspondence Bias/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/28bAMAxhoX3bwbAKC/are-your-enemies-innately-evil>Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JCnYq4SBZ29zngRf4/open-thread-0>Open Thread/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/48WeP7oTec3kBEada/two-more-things-to-unlearn-from-school>Two More Things to Unlearn from School/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a7n8GdKiAZRX86T5A/making-beliefs-pay-rent-in-anticipated-experiences>Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CqyJzDZWvGhhFJ7dY/belief-in-belief>Belief in Belief/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NKaPFf98Y5otMbsPk/bayesian-judo>Bayesian Judo/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RmCjazjupRGcHSm5N/professing-and-cheering>Professing and Cheering/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nYkMLFpx77Rz3uo9c/belief-as-attire>Belief as Attire/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fAuWLS7RKWD2npBFR/religion-s-claim-to-be-non-disprovable>Religion's Claim to be Non-Disprovable/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wCqfCLs8z5Qw4GbKS/the-importance-of-saying-oops>The Importance of Saying "Oops"/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GJ4ZQm7crTzTM6xDW/focus-your-uncertainty>Focus Your Uncertainty/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/43PTNr4ZMaezyAJ5o/the-proper-use-of-doubt>The Proper Use of Doubt/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yDfxTj9TKYsYiWH5o/the-virtue-of-narrowness>The Virtue of Narrowness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HYWhKXRsMAyvRKRYz/you-can-face-reality>You Can Face Reality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dLzZWNGD23zqNLvt3/the-apocalypse-bet>The Apocalypse Bet/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5JDkW4MYXit2CquLs/your-strength-as-a-rationalist>Your Strength as a Rationalist/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vrHRcEDMjZcx5Yfru/i-defy-the-data>I Defy the Data!/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mnS2WYLCGJP2kQkRn/absence-of-evidence-is-evidence-of-absence>Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jiBFC7DcCrZjGmZnJ/conservation-of-expected-evidence>Conservation of Expected Evidence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/627DZcvme7nLDrbZu/update-yourself-incrementally>Update Yourself Incrementally/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WN73eiLQkuDtSC8Ag/one-argument-against-an-army>One Argument Against An Army/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fkM9XsNvXdYH6PPAx/hindsight-bias>Hindsight bias/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WnheMGAka4fL99eae/hindsight-devalues-science>Hindsight Devalues Science/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fhojYBGGiYAFcryHZ/scientific-evidence-legal-evidence-rational-evidence>Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XKcawbsB6Tj5e2QRK/is-molecular-nanotechnology-scientific>Is Molecular Nanotechnology "Scientific"?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fysgqk4CjAwhBgNYT/fake-explanations>Fake Explanations/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NMoLJuDJEms7Ku9XS/guessing-the-teacher-s-password>Guessing the Teacher's Password/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4Bwr6s9dofvqPWakn/science-as-attire>Science as Attire/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RgkqLqkg8vLhsYpfh/fake-causality>Fake Causality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FWMfQKG3RpZx6irjm/semantic-stopsigns>Semantic Stopsigns/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6i3zToomS86oj9bS6/mysterious-answers-to-mysterious-questions>Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8QzZKw9WHRxjR4948/the-futility-of-emergence>The Futility of Emergence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rmAbiEKQDpDnZzcRf/positive-bias-look-into-the-dark>Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kpRSCH7ALLcb6ucWM/say-not-complexity>Say Not "Complexity"/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DwtYPRuCxpXTrzG9m/my-wild-and-reckless-youth>My Wild and Reckless Youth/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/97Y7Jwrzxyfzz3Ad2/failing-to-learn-from-history>Failing to Learn from History/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TLKPj4GDXetZuPDH5/making-history-available>Making History Available/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/h3vdnR34ZvohDEFT5/stranger-than-history>Stranger Than History/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yxvi9RitzZDpqn6Yh/explain-worship-ignore>Explain/Worship/Ignore?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/L22jhyY9ocXQNLqyE/science-as-curiosity-stopper>"Science" as Curiosity-Stopper/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/P792Z4QA9dzcLdKkE/absurdity-heuristic-absurdity-bias>Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/R8cpqD3NA4rZxRdQ4/availability>Availability/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ga2HSwf9iQe64JwAa/why-is-the-future-so-absurd>Why is the Future So Absurd?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bMkCEZoBNhgRBtzoj/anchoring-and-adjustment>Anchoring and Adjustment/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qRWfvgJG75ESLRNu9/the-crackpot-offer>The Crackpot Offer/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GMhzDb3uAFYLwmXtY/radical-honesty>Radical Honesty/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RiWPdNaoL8fq7phbY/we-don-t-really-want-your-participation>We Don't Really Want Your Participation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dLbkrPu5STNCBLRjr/applause-lights>Applause Lights/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Lz64L3yJEtYGkzMzu/rationality-and-the-english-language>Rationality and the English Language/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i8q4vXestDkGTFwsc/human-evil-and-muddled-thinking>Human Evil and Muddled Thinking/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Hs3ymqypvhgFMkgLb/doublethink-choosing-to-be-biased>Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vHPrTLnhrgAHA96ko/why-i-m-blooking>Why I'm Blooking/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CPm5LTwHrvBJCa9h5/planning-fallacy>Planning Fallacy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/B9SF3v5vNzhJZFveH/kahneman-s-planning-anecdote>Kahneman's Planning Anecdote/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QAK43nNCTQQycAcYe/conjunction-fallacy>Conjunction Fallacy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down>Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Yq6aA4M3JKWaQepPJ/burdensome-details>Burdensome Details/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6s3xABaXKPdFwA3FS/what-is-evidence>What is Evidence?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/46qnWRSR7L2eyNbMA/the-lens-that-sees-its-flaws>The Lens That Sees Its Flaws/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nj8JKFoLSMEmD3RGp/how-much-evidence-does-it-take>How Much Evidence Does It Take?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MwQRucYo6BZZwjKE7/einstein-s-arrogance>Einstein's Arrogance/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f4txACqDWithRi7hs/occam-s-razor>Occam's Razor/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QtyKq4BDyuJ3tysoK/9-26-is-petrov-day>9/26 is Petrov Day/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6FmqiAgS8h4EJm86s/how-to-convince-me-that-2-2-3>How to Convince Me That 2 + 2  3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/34XxbRFe54FycoCDw/the-bottom-line>The Bottom Line/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kJiPnaQPiy4p9Eqki/what-evidence-filtered-evidence>What Evidence Filtered Evidence?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SFZoEBpLo9frSJGkc/rationalization>Rationalization/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RiQYixgCdvd8eWsjg/recommended-rationalist-reading>Recommended Rationalist Reading/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9f5EXt8KNNxTAihtZ/a-rational-argument>A Rational Argument/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/buixYfcXBah9hbSNZ/we-change-our-minds-less-often-than-we-think>We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dHQkDNMhj692ayx78/avoiding-your-belief-s-real-weak-points>Avoiding Your Belief's Real Weak Points/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3nZMgRTfFEfHp34Gb/the-meditation-on-curiosity>The Meditation on Curiosity/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CahCppKy9HuXe3j2i/singlethink>Singlethink/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eY45uCCX7DdwJ4Jha/no-one-can-exempt-you-from-rationality-s-laws>No One Can Exempt You From Rationality's Laws/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qmqLxvtsPzZ2s6mpY/a-priori>A Priori/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BaCWFCxBQYjJXSsah/priming-and-contamination>Priming and Contamination/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TiDGXt3WrQwtCdDj3/do-we-believe-everything-we-re-told>Do We Believe Everything We're Told?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2MD3NMLBPCqPfnfre/cached-thoughts>Cached Thoughts/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qu95AwSrKqQSo4fCY/the-outside-the-box-box>The "Outside the Box" Box/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SA79JMXKWke32A3hG/original-seeing>Original Seeing/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aSQy7yHj6nPD44RNo/how-to-seem-and-be-deep>How to Seem (and Be) Deep/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rHBdcHGLJ7KvLJQPk/the-logical-fallacy-of-generalization-from-fictional>The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uHYYA32CKgKT3FagE/hold-off-on-proposing-solutions>Hold Off On Proposing Solutions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LxcJHS2Lt22mHQ4Hm/can-t-say-no-spending>"Can't Say No" Spending/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PNXjsEGBpR2WjTdsH/congratulations-to-paris-hilton>Congratulations to Paris Hilton/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a5JAiTdytou3Jg749/pascal-s-mugging-tiny-probabilities-of-vast-utilities>Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sSqoEw9eRP2kPKLCz/illusion-of-transparency-why-no-one-understands-you>Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sWtvoBsknYvS6QPTb/self-anchoring>Self-Anchoring/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HLqWn5LASfhhArZ7w/expecting-short-inferential-distances>Expecting Short Inferential Distances/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2TPph4EGZ6trEbtku/explainers-shoot-high-aim-low>Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low!/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sBBGxdvhKcppQWZZE/double-illusion-of-transparency>Double Illusion of Transparency/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vNBxmcHpnozjrJnJP/no-one-knows-what-science-doesn-t-know>No One Knows What Science Doesn't Know/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/faHbrHuPziFH7Ef7p/why-are-individual-iq-differences-ok>Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sBsMM5cTkftS3W7qj/bay-area-bayesians-unite>Bay Area Bayesians Unite!/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/L32LHWzy9FzSDazEg/motivated-stopping-and-motivated-continuation>Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3wYTFWY3LKQCnAptN/torture-vs-dust-specks>Torture vs. Dust Specks/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i2ruK7M3coWfv8mfD/a-case-study-of-motivated-continuation>A Case Study of Motivated Continuation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3viwrvz7MJbrdi9gW/a-terrifying-halloween-costume>A Terrifying Halloween Costume/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bfbiyTogEKWEGP96S/fake-justification>Fake Justification/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pLRogvJLPPg6Mrvg4/an-alien-god>An Alien God/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZyNak8F6WXjuEbWWc/the-wonder-of-evolution>The Wonder of Evolution/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jAToJHtg39AMTAuJo/evolutions-are-stupid-but-work-anyway>Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QcnkFgojszmo9k4xk/natural-selection-s-speed-limit-and-complexity-bound>Natural Selection's Speed Limit and Complexity Bound/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BahoNzY2pzSeM2Dtk/beware-of-stephen-j-gould>Beware of Stephen J. Gould/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QsMJQSFj7WfoTMNgW/the-tragedy-of-group-selectionism>The Tragedy of Group Selectionism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Masoq4NdmmGSiq2xw/fake-selfishness>Fake Selfishness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fATPBv4pnHC33EmJ2/fake-morality>Fake Morality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i6fKszWY6gLZSX2Ey/fake-optimization-criteria>Fake Optimization Criteria/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XPErvb8m9FapXCjhA/adaptation-executers-not-fitness-maximizers>Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/epZLSoNvjW53tqNj9/evolutionary-psychology>Evolutionary Psychology/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gTNB9CQd5hnbkMxAG/protein-reinforcement-and-dna-consequentialism>Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism/a>/li>      li>a 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Probability/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2MqXKvBym3kRxvJMv/trust-in-math>Trust in Math/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LiDk2XMBFmRiju4x3/rationality-quotes-1>Rationality Quotes 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vSBNjrZvGzjoFNb4C/rationality-quotes-2>Rationality Quotes 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jh33KiQTCxXgpHD78/rationality-quotes-3>Rationality Quotes 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zJZvoiwydJ5zvzTHK/the-allais-paradox>The Allais Paradox/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zNcLnqHF5rvrTsQJx/zut-allais>Zut Allais!/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rs7B2TsTCtDEbHZgM/rationality-quotes-4>Rationality Quotes 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/knpAQ4F3gmguxy39z/allais-malaise>Allais Malaise/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AvJeJw52NL9y7RJDJ/against-discount-rates>Against Discount Rates/a>/li>      li>a 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hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SGR4GxFK7KmW7ckCB/something-to-protect>Something to Protect/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6ddcsdA2c2XpNpE5x/newcomb-s-problem-and-regret-of-rationality>Newcomb's Problem and Regret of Rationality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i47JiJwNQ2q7bWf4L/ob-meetup-millbrae-thu-21-feb-7pm>OB Meetup: Millbrae, Thu 21 Feb, 7pm/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQxYBfu2LPc9Ydo6w/the-parable-of-the-dagger>The Parable of the Dagger/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bcM5ft8jvsffsZZ4Y/the-parable-of-hemlock>The Parable of Hemlock/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3nxs2WYDGzJbzcLMp/words-as-hidden-inferences>Words as Hidden Inferences/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HsznWM9A7NiuGsp28/extensions-and-intensions>Extensions and Intensions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QDHcpmTXMqPrrsddr/buy-now-or-forever-hold-your-peace>Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jMTbQj9XB5ah2maup/similarity-clusters>Similarity Clusters/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4mEsPHqcbRWxnaE5b/typicality-and-asymmetrical-similarity>Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WBw8dDkAWohFjWQSk/the-cluster-structure-of-thingspace>The Cluster Structure of Thingspace/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4FcxgdvdQP45D6Skg/disguised-queries>Disguised Queries/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yFDKvfN6D87Tf5J9f/neural-categories>Neural Categories/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yA4gF5KrboK2m2Xu7/how-an-algorithm-feels-from-inside>How An Algorithm Feels From Inside/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7X2j8HAkWdmMoS8PE/disputing-definitions>Disputing Definitions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dMCFk2n2ur8n62hqB/feel-the-meaning>Feel the Meaning/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9ZooAqfh2TC9SBDvq/the-argument-from-common-usage>The Argument from Common Usage/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i2dfY65JciebF3CAo/empty-labels>Empty Labels/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aEzwse2K5Cu8EshJK/classic-sichuan-in-millbrae-thu-feb-21-7pm>Classic Sichuan in Millbrae, Thu Feb 21, 7pm/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WBdvyyHLdxZSAMmoz/taboo-your-words>Taboo Your Words/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GKfPL6LQFgB49FEnv/replace-the-symbol-with-the-substance>Replace the Symbol with the Substance/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/y5MxoeacRKKM3KQth/fallacies-of-compression>Fallacies of Compression/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/veN86cBhoe7mBxXLk/categorizing-has-consequences>Categorizing Has Consequences/a>/li>      li>a 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Discovery/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WjpA4PCjt5EkTGbLF/bind-yourself-to-reality>Bind Yourself to Reality/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iiWiHgtQekWNnmE6Q/if-you-demand-magic-magic-won-t-help>If You Demand Magic, Magic Won't Help/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xaPLsMBkvWyBFuyRy/new-york-ob-meetup-ad-hoc-on-monday-mar-24-6pm>New York OB Meetup (ad-hoc) on Monday, Mar 24, @6pm/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ndGYn7ZFiZyernp9f/the-beauty-of-settled-science>The Beauty of Settled Science/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hYqDp4qAucZM33qSh/amazing-breakthrough-day-april-1st>Amazing Breakthrough Day: April 1st/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PMr6f7ZocEWFtCYXj/is-humanism-a-religion-substitute>Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MCYp8g9EMAiTCTawk/scarcity>Scarcity/a>/li>      li>a 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hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dq3KsCsqNotWc8nAK/cascades-cycles-insight>Cascades, Cycles, Insight.../a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rJLviHqJMTy8WQkow/recursion-magic>...Recursion, Magic/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pXpt2HqCqxqjeZc4u/the-complete-idiot-s-guide-to-ad-hominem>The Complete Idiot's Guide to Ad Hominem/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NCb28Xdv7xDajtqtS/engelbart-insufficiently-recursive>Engelbart: Insufficiently Recursive/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5hX44Kuz5No6E6RS9/total-nano-domination>Total Nano Domination/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QB6BkkpwiecfF6Ekq/thanksgiving-prayer>Thanksgiving Prayer/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NyFtHycJvkyNjXNsP/chaotic-inversion>Chaotic Inversion/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rSTpxugJxFPoRMkGW/singletons-rule-ok>Singletons Rule OK/a>/li>      li>a 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Intelligence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3pyLbH3BqevetQros/true-sources-of-disagreement>True Sources of Disagreement/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yzzoWR33S9C3m75e8/disjunctions-antipredictions-etc>Disjunctions, Antipredictions, Etc./a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rxo4Gcxv63pa5B2Jq/bay-area-meetup-wed-12-10-8pm>Bay Area Meetup Wed 12/10 @8pm/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RNLQ7846MvJWwxH52/the-mechanics-of-disagreement>The Mechanics of Disagreement/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z3kYdw54htktqt9Jb/what-i-think-if-not-why>What I Think, If Not Why/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yKXKcyoBzWtECzXrE/you-only-live-twice>You Only Live Twice/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/px2SEBcGoRkuxFfEY/bhtv-de-grey-and-yudkowsky>BHTV: de Grey and Yudkowsky/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cfZ8zveqrTZbQrjeD/for-the-people-who-are-still-alive>For The People Who Are Still Alive/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DdEKcS6JcW7ordZqQ/not-taking-over-the-world>Not Taking Over the World/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fwd2qoP9jJtuHhjrd/visualizing-eutopia>Visualizing Eutopia/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pK4HTxuv6mftHXWC3/prolegomena-to-a-theory-of-fun>Prolegomena to a Theory of Fun/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/29vqqmGNxNRGzffEj/high-challenge>High Challenge/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aEdqh3KPerBNYvoWe/complex-novelty>Complex Novelty/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eLHCWi8sotQT6CmTX/sensual-experience>Sensual Experience/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dKGfNvjGjq4rqffyF/living-by-your-own-strength>Living By Your Own Strength/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EA5JmHSHa2E2RJKSY/rationality-quotes-20>Rationality Quotes 20/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jq5WAQEboeufkxzsg/imaginary-positions>Imaginary Positions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CtSS6SkHhLBvdodTY/harmful-options>Harmful Options/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MTjej6HKvPByx3dEA/devil-s-offers>Devil's Offers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wqDRRx9RqwKLzWt7R/nonperson-predicates>Nonperson Predicates/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HsRFQTAySAx8xbXEc/nonsentient-optimizers>Nonsentient Optimizers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CJQDHufACHm6XiYkY/nonsentient-bloggers>Nonsentient Bloggers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gb6zWstjmkYHLrbrg/can-t-unbirth-a-child>Can't Unbirth a Child/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vwnSPgwtmLjvTK2Wa/amputation-of-destiny>Amputation of Destiny/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/W5PhyEQqEWTcpRpqn/dunbar-s-function>Dunbar's Function/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ywZs3bAAnubux2REg/a-new-day>A New Day/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EZ8GniEPSechjDYP9/free-to-optimize>Free to Optimize/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4o3zwgofFPLutkqvd/the-uses-of-fun-theory>The Uses of Fun (Theory)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EQkELCGiGQwvrrp3L/growing-up-is-hard>Growing Up is Hard/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QZs4vkC7cbyjL9XA9/changing-emotions>Changing Emotions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HD93frfJaYG6kMwCt/rationality-quotes-21>Rationality Quotes 21/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZmDEbiEeXk3Wv2sLH/emotional-involvement>Emotional Involvement/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qyTCeEikY4cDT96ik/rationality-quotes-22>Rationality Quotes 22/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6qS9q5zHafFXsB6hf/serious-stories>Serious Stories/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wSgxwXCdWiuM3R9fa/rationality-quotes-23>Rationality Quotes 23/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QfpHRAMRM2HjteKFK/continuous-improvement>Continuous Improvement/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQSaMafoizBSa3gFR/eutopia-is-scary>Eutopia is Scary/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cWjK3SbRcLkb3gN69/building-weirdtopia>Building Weirdtopia/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/siPzSrEnWGq8DDGua/she-has-joined-the-conspiracy>She has joined the Conspiracy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DGXvLNpiSYBeQ6TLW/justified-expectation-of-pleasant-surprises>Justified Expectation of Pleasant Surprises/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/88BpRQah9c2GWY3En/seduced-by-imagination>Seduced by Imagination/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4KSWmJm6K3EEvHBkd/getting-nearer>Getting Nearer/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WMDy4GxbyYkNrbmrs/in-praise-of-boredom>In Praise of Boredom/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NLMo5FZWFFq652MNe/sympathetic-minds>Sympathetic Minds/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Py3uGnncqXuEfPtQp/interpersonal-entanglement>Interpersonal Entanglement/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ctpkTaqTKbmm6uRgC/failed-utopia-4-2>Failed Utopia #4-2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iGzNGfv5depzzyz2B/investing-for-the-long-slump>Investing for the Long Slump/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5Pjq3mxuiXu2Ys3gM/higher-purpose>Higher Purpose/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DX5yrKfMBxq6kifTK/rationality-quotes-24>Rationality Quotes 24/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K4aGvLnHvYgX9pZHS/the-fun-theory-sequence>The Fun Theory 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hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qCsxiojX7BSLuuBgQ/the-super-happy-people-3-8>The Super Happy People (3/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bojLBvsYck95gbKNM/interlude-with-the-confessor-4-8>Interlude with the Confessor (4/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Z263n4TXJimKn6A8Z/three-worlds-decide-5-8>Three Worlds Decide (5/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HWH46whexsoqR3yXk/normal-ending-last-tears-6-8>Normal Ending: Last Tears (6/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Ls6f5PerERJmsTGB/true-ending-sacrificial-fire-7-8>True Ending: Sacrificial Fire (7/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4pov2tL6SEC23wrkq/epilogue-atonement-8-8>Epilogue: Atonement (8/8)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3wyMbgeFfQWntFxTf/the-thing-that-i-protect>The Thing That I Protect/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SqNvmwDxRibLXjMZN/and-say-no-more-of-it>...And Say No More Of It/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XnPpn2uSRxvmGfxHq/moral-truth-in-fiction>(Moral) Truth in Fiction?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/njb9cyyzqLTHewups/informers-and-persuaders>Informers and Persuaders/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KC5qGJiWSxt9zpyDy/cynicism-in-ev-psych-and-econ>Cynicism in Ev-Psych (and Econ?)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/o8Bh82hKGpRNA2q36/the-evolutionary-cognitive-boundary>The Evolutionary-Cognitive Boundary/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/J4vdsSKB7LzAvaAMB/an-especially-elegant-evpsych-experiment>An Especially Elegant Evpsych Experiment/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3Jn4voRWzqboq2M38/rationality-quotes-26>Rationality Quotes 26/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yyteh3qwD6kjhLiCb/an-african-folktale>An African Folktale/a>/li>      li>a 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enabled/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GTzBTtkZH8KxNNfxA/slow-down-a-little-maybe>Slow down a little... maybe?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ERRk4thxxYNcScqR4/moore-s-paradox>Moore's Paradox/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/W7LcN9gmdnaAk9K52/don-t-believe-you-ll-self-deceive>Don't Believe You'll Self-Deceive/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Cxcormwz6jb98gGzW/striving-to-accept>Striving to Accept/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/J2sr4tdC4ThrbJRR3/wanted-python-open-source-volunteers>Wanted: Python open source volunteers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XqmjdBKa4ZaXJtNmf/raising-the-sanity-waterline>Raising the Sanity Waterline/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nu3wa6npK4Ry66vFp/a-sense-that-more-is-possible>A Sense That More Is Possible/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/T8ddXNtmNSHexhQh8/epistemic-viciousness>Epistemic 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Taskforce/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4PPE6D635iBcGPGRy/rationality-common-interest-of-many-causes>Rationality: Common Interest of Many Causes/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f42BHX7rMw2dyFJfT/helpless-individuals>Helpless Individuals/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZpDnRCeef2CLEFeKM/money-the-unit-of-caring>Money: The Unit of Caring/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3p3CYauiX8oLjmwRF/purchase-fuzzies-and-utilons-separately>Purchase Fuzzies and Utilons Separately/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CnF9wZzn7aLvWe4zy/wrong-tomorrow>Wrong Tomorrow/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZEj9ATpv3P22LSmnC/selecting-rationalist-groups>Selecting Rationalist Groups/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ARtkT3EYox3THYjF/rationality-is-systematized-winning>Rationality is Systematized Winning/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oZNXmHcdhb4m7vwsv/incremental-progress-and-the-valley>Incremental Progress and the Valley/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kKAmxmQq9umJiMFSp/real-life-anthropic-weirdness>Real-Life Anthropic Weirdness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WhzCbrxG4KzFz7W4d/newcomb-s-problem-standard-positions>Newcomb's Problem standard positions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XYrcTJFJoYKX2DxNL/extenuating-circumstances>Extenuating Circumstances/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E7CKXxtGKPmdM9ZRc/of-lies-and-black-swan-blowups>Of Lies and Black Swan Blowups/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rg7vPTtyLMfT6Qqud/whining-based-communities>Whining-Based Communities/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iNhRdRqwFqQHPRqE4/zero-based-karma-coming-through>Zero-based karma coming through/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gBewgmzcEiks2XdoQ/mandatory-secret-identities>Mandatory Secret Identities/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6NvbSwuSAooQxxf7f/beware-of-other-optimizing>Beware of Other-Optimizing/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TyNtW86j5CSbjQnAT/that-crisis-thing-seems-pretty-useful>That Crisis thing seems pretty useful/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BD4oExxQguTgpESdm/the-unfinished-mystery-of-the-shangri-la-diet>The Unfinished Mystery of the Shangri-La Diet/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/geqg9mk73NQh6uieE/akrasia-and-shangri-la>Akrasia and Shangri-La/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a3MhmPM7eZbP6pFPZ/twelve-virtues-booklet-printing>Twelve Virtues booklet printing?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K5nq3KcDXaGm7QQWR/bystander-apathy>Bystander Apathy/a>/li>      li>a 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  li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bTsiPnFndZeqTnWpu/mixed-reference-the-great-reductionist-project>Mixed Reference: The Great Reductionist Project/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zqwWicCLNBSA5Ssmn/by-which-it-may-be-judged>By Which It May Be Judged/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i7oNcHR3ZSnEAM29X/standard-and-nonstandard-numbers>Standard and Nonstandard Numbers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8TCkDjYWphW88LJgh/new-censorship-against-hypothetical-violence-against>New censorship: against hypothetical violence against identifiable people/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GZjGtd35vhCnzSQKy/godel-s-completeness-and-incompleteness-theorems>Godel's Completeness and Incompleteness Theorems/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3MXtScwdzkbxHTsiw/meta-deletion-policy>META: Deletion policy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SWn4rqdycu83ikfBa/second-order-logic-the-controversy>Second-Order Logic: The Controversy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8SJEGBGsKSoFMMfr2/just-one-sentence>Just One Sentence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vacuhzvPZSwZpyX2u/official-lw-uncensored-thread-on-reddit>Official LW uncensored thread (on Reddit)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f9s7pHub6hbsX7YKT/metamed-evidence-based-healthcare>MetaMed: Evidence-Based Healthcare/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zmSuDDFE4dicqd4Hg/you-only-need-faith-in-two-things>You only need faith in two things/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/duAkuSqJhGDcfMaTA/reflection-in-probabilistic-logic>Reflection in Probabilistic Logic/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ebiCeBHr7At8Yyq9R/being-half-rational-about-pascal-s-wager-is-even-worse>Being Half-Rational About Pascal's Wager is Even Worse/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CZQuFoqgPXQawH9aL/new-report-intelligence-explosion-microeconomics>New report: Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KDzXTWSTg8ArwbhRR/pascal-s-muggle-short-version>Pascal's Muggle (short version)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ap4KfkHyxjYPDiqh2/pascal-s-muggle-infinitesimal-priors-and-strong-evidence>Pascal's Muggle: Infinitesimal Priors and Strong Evidence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HCCfKCrxxHoTCincF/justifiable-erroneous-scientific-pessimism>Justifiable Erroneous Scientific Pessimism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ew7icRfAkhYfkHEvD/new-meetup-policy-promote-posts-only-with-first-time-meetups>new meetup policy: promote posts only with first-time meetups/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gnxDNEtkEo3sfeyPn/tiling-agents-for-self-modifying-ai-opfai-2>Tiling Agents for Self-Modifying AI (OPFAI #2)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FS6NCWzzP8DHp4aD4/do-earths-with-slower-economic-growth-have-a-better-chance>Do Earths with slower economic growth have a better chance at FAI?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LNKh22Crr5ujT85YM/after-critical-event-w-happens-they-still-won-t-believe-you>After critical event W happens, they still won't believe you/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kBADRoen6u7BbJmD2/how-to-write-deep-characters>How to Write Deep Characters/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MxHQr33zRmozjmJzD/public-service-announcement-collection>Public Service Announcement Collection/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZiRKzx3yv7NyA5rjF/the-robots-ai-and-unemployment-anti-faq>The Robots, AI, and Unemployment Anti-FAQ/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eYCj6GnnSSmDKDZgG/q-for-givewell-what-is-givedirectly-s-mechanism-of-action>Q for GiveWell: What is GiveDirectly's mechanism of action?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RAh4fekdiRhZxb2Kw/the-ultimate-newcomb-s-problem>The Ultimate Newcomb's Problem/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z2YwmzuT7nWx62Kfh/cooperating-with-agents-with-different-ideas-of-fairness>Cooperating with agents with different ideas of fairness, while resisting exploitation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vsASeE4KDP2nedgGv/chapter-102-caring>Chapter 102: Caring/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uXn3LyA8eNqpvdoZw/preface>Preface/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8vpf46nLMDYPC6wA4/optimization-and-the-intelligence-explosion>Optimization and the Intelligence Explosion/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nx2WxEuPSvNBGuYpo/feeling-moral>Feeling Moral/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/L86XPKmbpE8YCGruq/chapter-9-title-redacted-part-1>Chapter 9: Title Redacted, Part 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/B5Qar5K2YzLuvHwi4/chapter-70-self-actualization-pt-5>Chapter 70: Self Actualization, Pt 5/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZfYzvfavHuiwt8ZPb/chapter-89-time-pressure-pt-2>Chapter 89: Time Pressure, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4aDzgxNLpi5PptNrJ/chapter-106-the-truth-pt-3>Chapter 106: The Truth, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/udB9GNwsrs72YAbsh/chapter-59-tspe-curiosity-pt-9>Chapter 59: TSPE, Curiosity, Pt 9/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5MjuC3tuamZBSYZrr/chapter-52-the-stanford-prison-experiment-pt-2>Chapter 52: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4nh5G7Dkc24DFz6Pz/chapter-78-taboo-tradeoffs-prelude-cheating>Chapter 78: Taboo Tradeoffs Prelude: Cheating/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/N4y4QjNz7NMD6fLiP/chapter-3-comparing-reality-to-its-alternatives>Chapter 3: Comparing Reality To Its Alternatives/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jn8256ajXff6KuNPu/chapter-30-working-in-group-pt-1>Chapter 30: Working in Group, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i62ujuGfBDDw5ZnZa/chapter-25-hold-off-on-proposing-solutions>Chapter 25: Hold Off on Proposing Solutions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NLX738bmncXoc94vu/chapter-85-taboo-tradeoffs-aftermath-3-distance>Chapter 85: Taboo Tradeoffs, Aftermath 3, Distance/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pQR4B836uDLXLjTC7/chapter-120-something-to-protect-draco-malfoy>Chapter 120: Something to Protect: Draco Malfoy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i45GMZgheKTheF9nJ/chapter-8-positive-bias>Chapter 8: Positive Bias/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BwAt8C365BzaPBfrk/chapter-42-courage>Chapter 42: Courage/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5jSmYbpx2ToqYBjXS/chapter-71-self-actualization-pt-6>Chapter 71: Self Actualization, Pt 6/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nfEoTb8J8886irxdr/chapter-38-the-cardinal-sin>Chapter 38: The Cardinal Sin/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fdiYakAc5N4z4N4Nq/chapter-21-rationalization>Chapter 21: Rationalization/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CQaxyAzYfbjeCPY7m/chapter-107-the-truth-pt-4>Chapter 107: The Truth, Pt 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AMZMAkoTy8DE38ek6/chapter-35-coordination-problems-pt-3>Chapter 35: Coordination Problems, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mJPBFatbdurN5x58x/chapter-79-taboo-tradeoffs-pt-1>Chapter 79: Taboo Tradeoffs, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/83brDQuCpdvKqPRfu/chapter-53-the-stanford-prison-experiment-pt-3>Chapter 53: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SQqHrCFwHQGgroegh/chapter-92-roles-pt-3>Chapter 92: Roles, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dNXNL5v7ZSgiWuSaW/chapter-111-failure-pt-1>Chapter 111: Failure, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8D8Enneaoa3YjGk4J/chapter-60-the-stanford-prison-experiment-pt-10>Chapter 60: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 10/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TcfDRjhzNbqE9LX2m/chapter-91-roles-pt-2>Chapter 91: Roles, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Qn6W8EK2X5ERkY5qg/chapter-121-something-to-protect-severus-snape>Chapter 121: Something to Protect: Severus Snape/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DAqsG9NxaSyCoN6pJ/chapter-108-the-truth-pt-5-answers-and-riddles>Chapter 108: The Truth, Pt 5, Answers and Riddles/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gBkD8LJNR4ziizMLA/chapter-12-impulse-control>Chapter 12: Impulse Control/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BJ2WcmG2dMvkh6nz5/chapter-28-reductionism>Chapter 28: Reductionism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KiXSXTbbaYWLTTL5D/chapter-80-taboo-tradeoffs-pt-2-the-horns-effect>Chapter 80: Taboo Tradeoffs, Pt 2, The Horns Effect/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vNHf7dx5QZA4SLSZb/chapter-1-a-day-of-very-low-probability>Chapter 1: A Day of Very Low Probability/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eRtfnxAhpckqF8Hqy/chapter-72-sa-plausible-deniability-pt-7>Chapter 72: SA, Plausible Deniability, Pt 7/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iTzKdxPBJWnhMdMPK/chapter-23-belief-in-belief>Chapter 23: Belief in Belief/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BMbaCAJH2u8mLE2Kg/chapter-37-interlude-crossing-the-boundary>Chapter 37: Interlude: Crossing the Boundary/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tk3ZGreB6nRiwrJ5C/chapter-54-the-stanford-prison-experiment-pt-4>Chapter 54: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5GCoBhagXMDG6XYTj/chapter-64-omake-files-4-alternate-parallels>Chapter 64: Omake Files 4, Alternate Parallels/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YctxLuTSWedY3MXqq/chapter-109-reflections>Chapter 109: Reflections/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Afwaj6sGfxcQZrmYF/chapter-4-the-efficient-market-hypothesis>Chapter 4: The Efficient Market Hypothesis/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wuiZQrqn2fZCZMDBC/chapter-122-something-to-protect-hermione-grange>Chapter 122: Something to Protect: Hermione Grange/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/worfnZsavhZeFsBzZ/chapter-61-tspe-secrecy-and-openness-pt-11>Chapter 61: TSPE, Secrecy and Openness, Pt 11/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/35CSC29qNo7iqXhqF/chapter-93-roles-pt-4>Chapter 93: Roles, Pt 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iW7zmuBaskKcaErGC/chapter-16-lateral-thinking>Chapter 16: Lateral Thinking/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EQ9AKiFDy3wXnhG6L/chapter-33-coordination-problems-pt-1>Chapter 33: Coordination Problems, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gBPGu9H9Hhhf7yWDA/chapter-48-utilitarian-priorities>Chapter 48: Utilitarian Priorities/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7Ek2ig6XHJp8JRaG2/chapter-110-reflections-pt-2>Chapter 110: Reflections, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tDxLr36WrH2HHqJjr/chapter-31-working-in-groups-pt-2>Chapter 31: Working in Groups, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SmfQ6kYDQXJMMDBwg/chapter-55-the-stanford-prison-experiment-pt-5>Chapter 55: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 5/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PfabLHZxDuvAouqh4/chapter-73-sa-the-sacred-and-the-mundane-pt-8>Chapter 73: SA, The Sacred and the Mundane, Pt 8/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qWC36EKyHQmiziKXJ/chapter-65-contagious-lies>Chapter 65: Contagious Lies/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CYnPzFga2nQk9dowy/chapter-115-shut-up-and-do-the-impossible-pt-2>Chapter 115: Shut Up and Do The Impossible, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Xx38DAuRfY6ftWPtF/chapter-100-precautionary-measures-pt-1>Chapter 100: Precautionary Measures, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EswXBc4itYycfpbK4/chapter-62-the-stanford-prison-experiment-final>Chapter 62: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Final/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MNENGi5ZEm7gMSkWq/chapter-14-the-unknown-and-the-unknowable>Chapter 14: The Unknown and the Unknowable/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JtLGZMEysSbXLHJQj/chapter-26-noticing-confusion>Chapter 26: Noticing Confusion/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kZjG9CAXdfxj6RnCF/chapter-94-roles-pt-5>Chapter 94: Roles, Pt 5/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/g78TRgLQuqY2etN7q/chapter-49-prior-information>Chapter 49: Prior Information/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/y7ErBMkB9m6rrWSTF/chapter-41-frontal-override>Chapter 41: Frontal Override/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vrNyJv7PtieKKJ5xf/chapter-74-sa-escalation-of-conflicts-pt-9>Chapter 74: SA, Escalation of Conflicts, Pt 9/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/64KCZYgBnCTFv3Luh/chapter-56-tspe-constrained-optimization>Chapter 56: TSPE, Constrained Optimization/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4HZJPGf2GzC6BSHa6/chapter-5-the-fundamental-attribution-error>Chapter 5: The Fundamental Attribution Error/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iL83fz5CQ7zJJoqN2/chapter-66-self-actualization-pt-1>Chapter 66: Self Actualization, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/y5Ea8ZejmsgBLWeDp/chapter-36-status-differentials>Chapter 36: Status Differentials/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aat8P63mjxqGRtmak/chapter-43-humanism-pt-1>Chapter 43: Humanism, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/n2wSWq4io7fz6sCzb/chapter-18-dominance-hierarchies>Chapter 18: Dominance Hierarchies/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cYmdmkLKsZtrCjLBA/chapter-101-precautionary-measures-pt-2>Chapter 101: Precautionary Measures, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/q4qgxzERtTsBcGoQb/chapter-90-roles-pt-1>Chapter 90: Roles, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZACmtQPEZfpNBQp6g/chapter-95-roles-pt-6>Chapter 95: Roles, Pt 6/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7GLfcsaZ8EthxWyNY/chapter-63-tspe-aftermaths>Chapter 63: TSPE, Aftermaths/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yYwzAeHhFzimQgBCf/chapter-22-the-scientific-method>Chapter 22: The Scientific Method/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wmcbHtSJh5jCsJiPP/chapter-47-personhood-theory>Chapter 47: Personhood Theory/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5vCigj2k44F9bumWK/chapter-112-failure-pt-2>Chapter 112: Failure, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f5hF3hyEoJWfeeduA/chapter-57-tspe-constrained-cognition-pt-7>Chapter 57: TSPE, Constrained Cognition, Pt 7/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8d28r3p65psHRoMpy/chapter-29-egocentric-bias>Chapter 29: Egocentric Bias/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Wx2CKWmKnNnXYpWz6/chapter-86-multiple-hypothesis-testing-0>Chapter 86: Multiple Hypothesis Testing/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/btfnD6vRQqcfMtuoX/chapter-75-self-actualization-final-responsibility>Chapter 75: Self Actualization Final, Responsibility/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tvkEXhMsBy69miQFT/chapter-45-humanism-pt-3>Chapter 45: Humanism, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6L523aJDpjm4yWxue/chapter-2-everything-i-believe-is-false>Chapter 2: Everything I Believe is False/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9qCADrAxLZWt2sZeX/chapter-67-self-actualization-pt-2>Chapter 67: Self Actualization, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ymaAWJMJzPSyTW8o2/chapter-10-self-awareness-part-ii>Chapter 10: Self Awareness, Part II/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RJ5EiSTvvDDs3wTsu/chapter-24-machiavellian-intelligence-hypothesis>Chapter 24: Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gSrzwWby3bP28vuCT/chapter-96-roles-pt-7>Chapter 96: Roles, Pt 7/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PYypGqzCiiTkm9HWv/chapter-116-aftermath-something-to-protect-pt-0>Chapter 116: Aftermath, Something to Protect, Pt 0/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jJekxY2D8zBC2yT6M/chapter-81-taboo-tradeoffs-pt-3>Chapter 81: Taboo Tradeoffs, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tffiESEnfSK89GqiM/chapter-87-hedonic-awareness>Chapter 87: Hedonic Awareness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4MhEnx8K7Bryxh9iX/chapter-76-interlude-with-the-confessor-sunk-costs>Chapter 76: Interlude with the Confessor: Sunk Costs/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5tXiw9PBCqFLHs2Mp/chapter-6-the-planning-fallacy>Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/shPgZtpw7dEP6vZ65/chapter-113-final-exam>Chapter 113: Final Exam/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BizSX5M3WouxHmDQG/chapter-58-tspe-constrained-cognition-pt-8>Chapter 58: TSPE, Constrained Cognition, Pt 8/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yB3yjYPf2H722hztd/chapter-68-self-actualization-pt-3>Chapter 68: Self Actualization, Pt 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ms8CK7KFpC4krAyf5/chapter-34-coordination-problems-pt-2>Chapter 34: Coordination Problems, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vnbTgoENKRkpttAcB/chapter-97-roles-pt-8>Chapter 97: Roles, Pt 8/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CSrtbghkgTTpDmWhT/chapter-11-omake-files-1-2-3>Chapter 11: Omake Files 1, 2, 3/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rF6h39aXMyNyvoP2p/chapter-103-tests>Chapter 103: Tests/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dqic7DyR5eLTi2htS/chapter-82-taboo-tradeoffs-final>Chapter 82: Taboo Tradeoffs, Final/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/udH3CoLhwFcod8yZY/chapter-114-shut-up-and-do-the-impossible>Chapter 114: Shut Up and Do The Impossible/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oToy3Qdy9HNDuh4nH/chapter-117-something-to-protect-minerva-mcgonagall>Chapter 117: Something to Protect: Minerva McGonagall/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bC9RCmv5cMtKZvJ2C/chapter-20-bayes-s-theorem>Chapter 20: Bayes's Theorem/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2BDvirc8CEi4AY54/chapter-50-self-centeredness>Chapter 50: Self Centeredness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7PKL5DRWCrkhbxzEY/chapter-77-sa-aftermaths-surface-appearances>Chapter 77: SA, Aftermaths: Surface Appearances/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Q9F68fq5wxudibnMC/chapter-88-time-pressure-pt-1>Chapter 88: Time Pressure, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GW7t5XN3uXuLazEY5/chapter-27-empathy>Chapter 27: Empathy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yoFncr9qNQCmGBvuS/chapter-13-asking-the-wrong-questions>Chapter 13: Asking the Wrong Questions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Rm8g7qbzJ7k5WQmSz/chapter-98-roles-final>Chapter 98: Roles, Final/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D4sT74YKPxHC2Lw4f/chapter-69-self-actualization-pt-4>Chapter 69: Self Actualization, Pt 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Tq8XwJd9HKJuRubQd/chapter-40-pretending-to-be-wise-pt-2>Chapter 40: Pretending to be Wise, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yLyLFuHXyiZo8dQKq/chapter-104-the-truth-pt-1-riddles-and-answers>Chapter 104: The Truth, Pt 1, Riddles and Answers/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8QTPrnK9XfZ6Faysv/chapter-83-taboo-tradeoffs-aftermath-1>Chapter 83: Taboo Tradeoffs, Aftermath 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pBoj9M22EMMAHW4Rr/chapter-15-conscientiousness>Chapter 15: Conscientiousness/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/S6evEw7Pw6t6SNAxG/chapter-118-something-to-protect-professor-quirrell>Chapter 118: Something to Protect: Professor Quirrell/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NunuKwrSg92ST9E8W/chapter-17-locating-the-hypothesis>Chapter 17: Locating the Hypothesis/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/okdusZkDRsQ6zCRDD/chapter-7-reciprocation>Chapter 7: Reciprocation/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/csJeZ3xrX6vjYNPFe/chapter-39-pretending-to-be-wise-pt-1>Chapter 39: Pretending to be Wise, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Sy2q9bE9wZe2kPoSp/chapter-44-humanism-pt-2>Chapter 44: Humanism, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Jb9t2ytyxvWjkRoZB/chapter-51-title-redacted-pt-1>Chapter 51: Title Redacted, Pt 1/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3z78utvMhGCSdDAwB/chapter-99-roles-aftermath>Chapter 99: Roles, Aftermath/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/m4HHsZYXzQtchSepn/chapter-19-delayed-gratification>Chapter 19: Delayed Gratification/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rR36AjFKA2TRFyxQB/chapter-105-the-truth-pt-2>Chapter 105: The Truth, Pt 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oEhwPGaWKaXy8GbBq/chapter-46-humanism-pt-4>Chapter 46: Humanism, Pt 4/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GiQ9nhFNq8ykEBsum/chapter-32-interlude-personal-financial-management>Chapter 32: Interlude: Personal Financial Management/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MnHtQtzrLW3sshtqJ/chapter-119-something-to-protect-albus-dumbledore>Chapter 119: Something to Protect: Albus Dumbledore/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/e3xKda7DPknkGW967/chapter-84-taboo-tradeoffs-aftermath-2>Chapter 84: Taboo Tradeoffs, Aftermath 2/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7DmA3yWwa6AT5jFXt/zombies-redacted>Zombies Redacted/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5bd75cc58225bf06703751e6/can-we-hybridize-absent-minded-driver-with-death-in-damascus>Can we hybridize Absent-Minded Driver with Death in Damascus?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/F3CwkGqEdY5KZogGS/catalonia-and-the-overton-window>Catalonia and the Overton Window/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BEtzRE2M5m9YEAQpX/there-s-no-fire-alarm-for-artificial-general-intelligence>There's No Fire Alarm for Artificial General Intelligence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/shnSyzv4Jq3bhMNw5/alphago-zero-and-the-foom-debate>AlphaGo Zero and the Foom Debate/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zsG9yKcriht2doRhM/inadequacy-and-modesty>Inadequacy and Modesty/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tAThqgpJwSueqhvKM/frequently-asked-questions-for-central-banks-undershooting>Frequently Asked Questions for Central Banks Undershooting Their Inflation Target/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yPLr2tnXbiFXkMWvk/an-equilibrium-of-no-free-energy>An Equilibrium of No Free Energy/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/x5ASTMPKPowLKpLpZ/moloch-s-toolbox-1-2>Moloch's Toolbox (1/2)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PRAyQaiMWg2La7XQy/moloch-s-toolbox-2-2>Moloch's Toolbox (2/2)/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pRibkeqBa2AxrpgT6/living-in-an-inadequate-world>Living in an Inadequate World/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6n9aKApfLre5WWvpG/blind-empiricism>Blind Empiricism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/svoD5KLKHyAKEdwPo/against-modest-epistemology>Against Modest Epistemology/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/o28fkhcZsBhhgfGjx/status-regulation-and-anxious-underconfidence>Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NtyBaxQShNFm92xnS/against-shooting-yourself-in-the-foot>Against Shooting Yourself in the Foot/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dhj9dhiwhq3DX6W8z/hero-licensing>Hero Licensing/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8gqrbnW758qjHFTrH/security-mindset-and-ordinary-paranoia>Security Mindset and Ordinary Paranoia/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cpdsMuAHSWhWnKdog/security-mindset-and-the-logistic-success-curve>Security Mindset and the Logistic Success Curve/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WQFioaudEH8R7fyhm/local-validity-as-a-key-to-sanity-and-civilization>Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/S7csET9CgBtpi7sCh/challenges-to-christiano-s-capability-amplification-proposal>Challenges to Christiano’s capability amplification proposal/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xdwbX9pFEr7Pomaxv/meta-honesty-firming-up-honesty-around-its-edge-cases>Meta-Honesty: Firming Up Honesty Around Its Edge-Cases/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CPP2uLcaywEokFKQG/toolbox-thinking-and-law-thinking>Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinking/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Gg9a4y8reWKtLe3Tn/the-rocket-alignment-problem>The Rocket Alignment Problem/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/st7DiQP23YQSxumCt/on-doing-the-improbable>On Doing the Improbable/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YicoiQurNBxSp7a65/is-clickbait-destroying-our-general-intelligence>Is Clickbait Destroying Our General Intelligence?/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Aud7CL7uhz55KL8jG/transhumanism-as-simplified-humanism>Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cq4DsXzGRXJBmYuyB/transhumanists-don-t-need-special-dispositions>Transhumanists Don't Need Special Dispositions/a>/li>      li>a hrefhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LRKXuxLrnxx3nSESv/should-ethicists-be-inside-or-outside-a-profession>Should ethicists be inside or outside a profession?/a>/li>    /ol>  /body>/html>

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